BOJ Rate Hike to 0.75% Sparks Yen Slide to 157 Per Dollar
The BOJ raised rates to 0.75%, but the yen weakened to 157 per dollar as markets expect slow future hikes. Variable mortgage rates will rise while currency volatility affects international transfers.
Key Points
- • BOJ raised policy rate to 0.75%, highest level since 1995.
- • Yen weakened to 157 per dollar despite rate hike decision.
- • Variable mortgage rates will increase; deposit rates may improve gradually.
- • Government may intervene if currency volatility continues, affecting international transfers.
The Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates on December 19, 2025, has paradoxically triggered a sharp depreciation of the yen, catching markets off guard and raising concerns among policymakers about currency instability. The move, which pushed Japan's policy rate to 0.75%—its highest level in 30 years—was intended to combat inflation driven partly by yen weakness, but instead accelerated the currency's decline.
According to NHK, the yen fell to the 157-per-dollar range in both London and New York trading sessions following the rate decision. The unexpected weakness stemmed from BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting press conference, where his comments led market participants to believe that future rate increases would proceed at a slower pace than previously anticipated. This interpretation prompted investors to sell yen and buy dollars, pushing the currency lower despite the rate hike.
For foreign residents in Japan, this development carries significant implications. The weaker yen means that remittances sent abroad or international purchases will become more expensive. Conversely, those receiving income from overseas in foreign currencies will see improved purchasing power within Japan. The currency movement also affects travel costs, with trips outside Japan becoming pricier for residents.
The rate increase itself brings direct financial consequences for expats with exposure to Japanese banking products. The policy rate rising to 0.75%—a level not seen since 1995—will gradually affect various financial instruments. According to NHK's analysis, variable-rate mortgages will likely see increases, meaning homeowners with such loans should prepare for higher monthly payments in coming months. However, the same report notes that deposit rates at Japanese banks may also improve, offering better returns on savings accounts.
Finance Minister Katayama expressed concern about the post-announcement currency movements, telling reporters that "there has clearly been a rapid, one-directional movement over the past few hours, which is worrying." He indicated that authorities would "take appropriate action against excessive movements," suggesting possible government intervention if volatility continues. This represents an important signal for expats engaged in currency transactions or planning large international transfers—timing may become crucial if authorities step into markets.
Japanese financial markets showed mixed reactions to the BOJ's decision. The Tokyo stock market saw gains, particularly among banking and financial sector stocks, as higher interest rates typically improve profit margins for lenders. Meanwhile, Japan's benchmark 10-year government bond yield rose above 2% for the first time in approximately 26 years, according to NHK, reflecting expectations of tighter monetary conditions ahead.
Governor Ueda stated during his press conference that the BOJ would "continue to raise the policy rate and adjust the degree of monetary easing in accordance with improvements in economic and price conditions." However, his cautious tone regarding the timing of future increases appears to have convinced markets that the central bank will proceed gradually, contributing to yen weakness.
For expats managing finances in Japan, this environment demands attention to several factors. Those with variable-rate loans should review their contracts and budget for potential payment increases. Anyone planning significant currency exchanges might consider the heightened volatility and potential government intervention. Additionally, the higher interest rate environment may eventually offer better returns on yen-denominated savings, though deposit rate adjustments typically lag policy changes.
The situation remains fluid, with currency markets continuing to digest the BOJ's policy shift and forward guidance. Foreign residents should monitor exchange rates closely if planning international transactions and stay informed about potential government currency interventions that could create sudden market movements.