Japan's Food Costs Push Engel Coefficient to Highest Level in 44 Years
Japan's Engel coefficient reached a 44-year high in 2025 as food inflation squeezes household budgets. Rice prices continue rising, with five kilograms now averaging 4,194 yen, impacting expats' purchasing power.
Key Points
- • Engel coefficient hit highest level since 1981, indicating reduced living standards nationwide.
- • Rice prices reached 4,194 yen per five kilograms, up six yen weekly.
- • Food inflation continues despite 0.9% real consumption increase in 2025.
- • Budget strategies include discount shopping, loyalty programs, and buying seasonal local produce.
Foreign residents in Japan are facing mounting pressure on household budgets as food price inflation drives the Engel coefficient—the proportion of household spending devoted to food—to its highest level since 1981, according to recent government data reported by NHK.
The latest household survey reveals that in 2025, two-person or larger households spent an increasingly large share of their budgets on food despite overall consumption rising by 0.9% in real terms compared to the previous year. This marks the first increase in consumer spending in three years, but the rising Engel coefficient indicates that food costs are consuming a disproportionate share of household income.
The Engel coefficient is widely used by economists as an indicator of living standards and economic wellbeing. Generally, a lower coefficient suggests greater prosperity, as households can afford to spend on non-essential items beyond basic food needs. The fact that Japan's coefficient has reached levels not seen in over four decades signals a significant squeeze on household finances, particularly affecting families and those on fixed incomes.
For expats living in Japan, this trend has tangible implications. The rising cost of staple foods means that even those earning reasonable salaries may find their purchasing power diminished. Rice, a dietary staple for many residents regardless of nationality, exemplifies this trend. According to NHK's price monitoring, the average price for five kilograms of rice at supermarkets nationwide reached 4,194 yen (including tax) in the week ending February 1, 2026. This represents a six-yen increase from the previous week and marks the first price rise in two weeks, continuing an upward trajectory that has characterized the market for months.
While a six-yen weekly increase may seem modest, the cumulative effect of persistent food inflation across all categories creates substantial budget pressure. Foreign residents who may already face challenges such as limited access to certain financial products or higher initial settlement costs are particularly vulnerable to these inflationary pressures.
The broader context includes various factors driving food prices higher in Japan. Global supply chain disruptions, rising energy costs affecting production and transportation, and the weakening yen making imports more expensive have all contributed to the sustained upward pressure on food costs. Additionally, Japan's agricultural sector faces structural challenges including an aging farming population and limited domestic production capacity for certain goods, making the country dependent on imports that are subject to international price fluctuations.
For expat households, several practical strategies can help mitigate the impact of rising food costs. Shopping at discount supermarkets, utilizing loyalty programs and point systems offered by major retailers, and timing purchases around sale periods can provide savings. Additionally, exploring local markets and seasonal produce can offer better value than imported goods. Some expats have found success by adjusting their dietary habits to incorporate more locally-produced items, which may be less affected by import-related price increases.
Looking ahead, economists suggest that food price pressures may persist in the near term, meaning foreign residents should anticipate continued budget challenges. Understanding these economic trends is crucial for financial planning, particularly for those considering long-term residence in Japan or making decisions about remittances and savings.
The government's household survey data serves as an important indicator for policymakers, potentially influencing decisions about wage policies, social support programs, and economic stimulus measures. However, immediate relief for consumers remains uncertain, making personal budget management and informed shopping choices increasingly important for maintaining quality of life in Japan's current economic environment.